Guijuelo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.2%
78%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AST
1 - 2
CDG
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CCF
1 - 0
CDG
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CDG
3 - 0
CIU
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NUM
1 - 2
CDG
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 2
CDG
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 1
MLL
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
RMC
1 - 3
RAY
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 1
RAY
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 0
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |