Guiense vs Moita do Boi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CUL
0 - 3
GUI
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
VIE
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAZ
0 - 3
GUI
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 2
ALV
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
GUI
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Moita do Boi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MDB
6 - 0
PAT
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MDB
3 - 3
GDA
26%
23%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MDB
2 - 2
ALQ
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 1
MDB
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MDB
3 - 1
PEN
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |