Guiense vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 4
GUI
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
LEM
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
PAT
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GDA
3 - 2
GUI
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
4 - 3
GUI
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
PAT
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GDA
3 - 1
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 1
ALQ
74%
17%
10%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PEL
1 - 0
BEN
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |