Guiense vs Alqueidão Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
PEL
2 - 4
GUI
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 5
PEN
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CCA
2 - 1
GUI
25%
22%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
ADP
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MDB
0 - 2
GUI
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
PAT
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GDA
5 - 1
ALQ
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 1
ALQ
76%
16%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 3
PEL
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |