Guidonia vs Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4632%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
5º
6º
8º
3
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 6 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 6 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 3 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 0 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
9º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SSC
0 - 0
GMF
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GMF
1 - 0
RMS
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
PUT
0 - 4
GMF
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ASI
0 - 3
GMF
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GMF
3 - 1
ANZ
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 3
SIR
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 1
ISC
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FBC
4 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
64%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
4 - 0
FIA
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCF
0 - 1
VIR
12%
21%
68%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |