Guerreros vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
GUE
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 0
CAZ
22%
28%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
UAT
0 - 1
GUE
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 0
LOB
19%
27%
54%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
GUE
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
IRA
3 - 4
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TIJ
2 - 1
IRA
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 2
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
REB
1 - 4
IRA
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IRA
2 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |