Guernsey vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
19º
15º
24
12º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
37 | 37 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
35 | 35 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
|
20º
|
24 | 24 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 0
GUE
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
THA
0 - 0
GUE
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAN
4 - 1
GUE
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
GUE
1 - 1
SOU
34%
23%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GUE
3 - 4
BED
21%
22%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
1 - 2
VCD
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 0
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
TOO
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COB
0 - 3
TOO
20%
20%
59%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |