Guernsey vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUE
2 - 4
LEW
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
WAL
4 - 2
GUE
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GUE
2 - 1
EAS
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WHY
5 - 1
GUE
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
GUE
2 - 0
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
TOO
8 - 2
MOL
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TOO
1 - 0
GOD
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 4
TOO
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 7
TOO
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TOO
4 - 0
CRA
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +3 |