Guernsey vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 2
GUE
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GUE
2 - 0
WHI
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GUE
2 - 1
DOR
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
GUE
0 - 0
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 2
GUE
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
TOO
4 - 0
EAS
60%
19%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 3
TOO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TOO
0 - 2
FOL
18%
22%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOO
1 - 1
WOR
18%
20%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FAV
2 - 1
TOO
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |