Guernsey vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
SIT
4 - 0
GUE
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
PHO
5 - 0
GUE
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
GUE
1 - 1
HYT
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
GUE
1 - 3
HOR
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
GUE
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CRA
4 - 2
VCD
88%
8%
3%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 2
WAL
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRA
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CRA
4 - 2
FAV
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CRA
7 - 0
SHO
94%
5%
2%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |