Guernsey vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUE
5 - 1
HYT
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAS
2 - 3
GUE
66%
20%
15%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 3
GUE
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GUE
2 - 1
WHI
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUE
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CRA
4 - 3
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAS
1 - 2
CHI
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SIT
22%
23%
56%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
CHI
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LEA
3 - 0
CHI
79%
15%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |