Guayama vs Mirabelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MAY
3 - 4
GUA
27%
23%
51%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
BOS
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 2
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mirabelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 2
CAG
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 4
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 3
MIR
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 2
BAY
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAY
1 - 3
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |