Guatire vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
URE
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ANG
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDS
2 - 1
SCG
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 1
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 2
SCG
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
SCG
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |