Guatire vs Monagas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
CFC
5 - 2
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
ANG
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 2
CFC
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
ANG
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
REA
4 - 2
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
UCV
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -3 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |