Guatemala vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
57.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 3
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 1
GTM
68%
18%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BLZ
0 - 0
GTM
8%
17%
76%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
GTM
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
CMR
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
COL
4 - 0
URU
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |