Guatemala vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
PAN
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 0
GTM
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
ARM
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
GTM
0 - 1
SVK
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
HND
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
CRC
1 - 0
CHI
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 2
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 2
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
COL
2 - 3
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |