Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
4º
22
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
GUA
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 1
XIN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
GUA
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
MIX
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 2
ACH
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
COB
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
XIN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COB
0 - 1
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |