Guarulhos vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MOG
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 5
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 2
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 4
TAB
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 4
BER
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAU
2 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 2
MAU
14%
19%
68%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAU
14 - 2
ECU
80%
13%
6%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
2 - 1
MAU
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TAB
0 - 0
MAU
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |