Guarulhos vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
GUA
30%
21%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
JAB
0 - 1
GUA
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
FLA
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAU
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
GUA
11%
15%
75%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
MFC
1 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MFC
0 - 0
MAU
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
MFC
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MFC
2 - 1
JAB
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
MFC
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |