Guarulhos vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 4
GUA
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
JAB
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAU
5 - 3
GUA
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 5
GUA
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
BER
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOG
76%
14%
9%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
BER
2 - 2
MAN
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAU
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
MAN
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |