Guaros de Lara FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaros de Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MIN
0 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ZUL
1 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LLA
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 3
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 2
ZAM
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
25%
23%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |