Guareña vs CD San Serván analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
7 - 1
GUA
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 4
QUI
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
GUA
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Serván
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
RMC
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 1
GIM
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
CDS
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 5
QUI
35%
23%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 2
CDS
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |