UD La Guardia vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
14.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
LAG
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 2
VDJ
55%
21%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 1
LAG
46%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
CPH
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
LAG
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 4
CDA
19%
18%
63%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VDJ
2 - 1
CDA
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 1
CDT
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CPH
2 - 3
CDA
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
VIL
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |