UD La Guardia vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
12.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
VIL
50%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 0
LAG
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 3
CPH
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 1
LAG
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 1
CDA
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 4
VDJ
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JIM
1 - 1
CDA
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 0
VIL
41%
21%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 0
CDA
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 3
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |