UD La Guardia vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDH
4 - 2
LAG
31%
24%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 3
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CPH
0 - 1
LAG
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
CDV
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDC
0 - 4
LAG
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 2
CPH
26%
20%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
3 - 0
CDA
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 0
UDC
46%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDA
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
RJA
7%
13%
81%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |