UD La Guardia vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 0
LAG
14%
17%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 3
LAG
20%
21%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LAG
4 - 2
ACF
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 5
LAG
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
5 - 1
UDC
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 2
CDA
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDA
2 - 2
CLU
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
8 - 0
CDA
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CDA
2 - 4
CDA
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |