UD La Guardia vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+139%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAI
1 - 1
LAG
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 0
PUE
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAG
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 1
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 3
LAG
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAE
4 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAE
30%
25%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAE
1 - 0
JOD
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CDR
2 - 3
BAE
12%
21%
67%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAE
5 - 2
CLU
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |