Guardia Dushanbe vs Zarafshon Panjakent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
KHU
4 - 1
GUD
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 3
REG
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 6
IST
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
IST
10 - 0
GUD
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 2
VAK
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zarafshon Panjakent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZAP
2 - 2
ENE
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RAV
2 - 0
ZAP
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |