Guardia Dushanbe vs Shodmon Gissar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 6
RAV
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
4 - 2
GUD
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GUD
2 - 4
KHU
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
IST
9 - 1
GUD
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shodmon Gissar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
FKS
0 - 5
XAY
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
REG
7 - 0
FKS
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
1 - 2
IST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
4 - 2
GUD
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 0
FKS
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |