Guardia Dushanbe vs Shodmon Gissar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
VAK
1 - 0
GUD
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
FKS
4 - 1
GUD
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
GUD
2 - 3
PAR
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 0
KHU
29%
24%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 2
GUD
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Shodmon Gissar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
FKS
1 - 3
IST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
FKS
4 - 1
GUD
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 1
FKS
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
XAY
1 - 1
FKS
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
FKS
0 - 1
RAV
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |