Guaratinguetá vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 5
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
JUV
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
MOG
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MOG
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 0
TUP
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |