Guaratinguetá vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
BOA
17%
25%
58%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
BOT
22%
28%
51%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
MAU
3 - 1
JAB
61%
19%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 0
MAU
20%
21%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -3 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MAU
1 - 1
SAO
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
MAU
15%
19%
67%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
MAU
3 - 0
MOG
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |