Guaratinguetá vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.9%
+6
1.9%
5-0
5.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
11.3%
+4
11.3%
3-0
20%
+3
20%
2-0
26.7%
+2
26.7%
1-0
23.7%
+1
23.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
0
10.5%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 0
RIO
32%
26%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |