Guaratinguetá vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
BAT
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
CAT
45%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |