Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
YPI
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
23%
28%
49%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
4 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 0
BOT
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
YPI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |