Guaratinguetá vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
SAO
39%
26%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 1
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 3
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 5
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 0
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |