Guaratinguetá vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis

Guaratinguetá Atlético Sorocaba
50 ELO 56
7.4% Tilt 9.2%
19737º General ELO ranking 21408º
649º Country ELO ranking 652º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Guaratinguetá
25.9%
Draw
34.7%
Atlético Sorocaba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
Guaratinguetá
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.7%
Win probability
Atlético Sorocaba
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guaratinguetá
Atlético Sorocaba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaratinguetá
Guaratinguetá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 0
Guaratinguetá
GUA
54%
24%
22%
51 57 6 0
28 Mar. 2015
GUA
Guaratinguetá
0 - 4
São Caetano
SAO
39%
26%
34%
52 58 6 -1
25 Mar. 2015
AGU
Água Santa
3 - 1
Guaratinguetá
GUA
45%
23%
32%
53 54 1 -1
21 Mar. 2015
NOV
Novorizontino
4 - 3
Guaratinguetá
GUA
47%
24%
30%
54 57 3 -1
14 Mar. 2015
GUA
Guaratinguetá
2 - 5
71%
18%
12%
55 42 13 -1

Matches

Atlético Sorocaba
Atlético Sorocaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2015
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
56%
24%
21%
55 53 2 0
28 Mar. 2015
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
0 - 1
Catanduvense
CAT
61%
22%
17%
56 51 5 -1
26 Mar. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 0
Atlético Sorocaba
ATL
48%
26%
26%
57 58 1 -1
21 Mar. 2015
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
3 - 1
Paulista
PAU
61%
22%
17%
56 50 6 +1
14 Mar. 2015
BAT
Batatais
0 - 0
Atlético Sorocaba
ATL
34%
27%
39%
56 51 5 0