Guaratinguetá vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
4 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 0
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
JEC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
GOI
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
ABC
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |