Guaratinguetá vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPO
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 2
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
PPE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
ICA
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ASA
4 - 3
ABC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |