Guarany U20 vs Sergipe U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
51.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ADC
3 - 0
GSE
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
SER
4 - 0
BSE
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
SER
3 - 0
MAD
44%
24%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 1
SER
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |