Guarany Camaqua vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
GFC
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
GFC
3 - 1
AEG
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 0
GFC
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 0
GFC
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GFC
1 - 1
AIM
53%
22%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 1
AIM
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
ESP
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 1
SAP
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
BRA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AEG
0 - 1
SAP
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |