Guarany Camaqua vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GEB
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
GFC
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
GFC
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 0
GFC
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
ECJ
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
BRA
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEB
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |