Guarany Camaqua vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
2 - 1
GFC
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GFC
1 - 2
RIO
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
GFC
61%
22%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
GFC
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GFC
5 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAR
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
3 - 3
FAR
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
2 - 0
FAR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 1
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |