Guarany de Sobral vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 2
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
6 - 0
QUI
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
QUI
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
LIM
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |