Guarany de Sobral vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOV
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 3
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ICA
1 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 4
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BOV
1 - 2
QUI
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |