Guarany de Sobral vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPO
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 3
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |