Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |