Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
QUI
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOV
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
BOV
2 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEA
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
BOV
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HOR
2 - 2
ITA
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |