Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 0
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 0
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 1
LIM
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 4
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 1
FOR
13%
20%
66%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 3
ICA
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
2 - 1
ITA
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |