Guarany de Sobral vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
LUV
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 1
CUI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
FOR
23%
27%
51%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
CUI
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 2
LUV
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |