Guarany de Sobral vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.9%
73.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAU
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
CSA
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
5 - 0
CEO
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
TRE
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 4
CSA
8%
16%
77%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | 0 |